Does the Brexit deal being voted down imply that Brexit is not going to happen?












30















Just looking at the TV and I am seeing that the British Parliament rejected the Brexit deal (cannot find an online source yet for this, although multiple sources show this vote result as very plausible).



Does this mean that Brexit is not going to happen or is this only one of the possible scenarios in the near future?



An answer to this question is interesting especially when the UK can legally cancel the Brexit process.










share|improve this question




















  • 1





    I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

    – Drunk Cynic
    yesterday






  • 9





    @DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

    – Alexei
    yesterday






  • 1





    @DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

    – Dmitry Grigoryev
    20 hours ago








  • 1





    @MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

    – Alexei
    19 hours ago






  • 1





    Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

    – Spencer Williams
    13 hours ago
















30















Just looking at the TV and I am seeing that the British Parliament rejected the Brexit deal (cannot find an online source yet for this, although multiple sources show this vote result as very plausible).



Does this mean that Brexit is not going to happen or is this only one of the possible scenarios in the near future?



An answer to this question is interesting especially when the UK can legally cancel the Brexit process.










share|improve this question




















  • 1





    I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

    – Drunk Cynic
    yesterday






  • 9





    @DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

    – Alexei
    yesterday






  • 1





    @DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

    – Dmitry Grigoryev
    20 hours ago








  • 1





    @MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

    – Alexei
    19 hours ago






  • 1





    Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

    – Spencer Williams
    13 hours ago














30












30








30








Just looking at the TV and I am seeing that the British Parliament rejected the Brexit deal (cannot find an online source yet for this, although multiple sources show this vote result as very plausible).



Does this mean that Brexit is not going to happen or is this only one of the possible scenarios in the near future?



An answer to this question is interesting especially when the UK can legally cancel the Brexit process.










share|improve this question
















Just looking at the TV and I am seeing that the British Parliament rejected the Brexit deal (cannot find an online source yet for this, although multiple sources show this vote result as very plausible).



Does this mean that Brexit is not going to happen or is this only one of the possible scenarios in the near future?



An answer to this question is interesting especially when the UK can legally cancel the Brexit process.







united-kingdom brexit parliament






share|improve this question















share|improve this question













share|improve this question




share|improve this question








edited 10 hours ago









Community

1




1










asked yesterday









AlexeiAlexei

15.6k1891168




15.6k1891168








  • 1





    I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

    – Drunk Cynic
    yesterday






  • 9





    @DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

    – Alexei
    yesterday






  • 1





    @DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

    – Dmitry Grigoryev
    20 hours ago








  • 1





    @MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

    – Alexei
    19 hours ago






  • 1





    Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

    – Spencer Williams
    13 hours ago














  • 1





    I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

    – Drunk Cynic
    yesterday






  • 9





    @DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

    – Alexei
    yesterday






  • 1





    @DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

    – Dmitry Grigoryev
    20 hours ago








  • 1





    @MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

    – Alexei
    19 hours ago






  • 1





    Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

    – Spencer Williams
    13 hours ago








1




1





I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

– Drunk Cynic
yesterday





I've voted to close this as off-topic because you're asking about the broad spectrum of future events that may fall out from the vote on the plan. There branch cases for what could now happen with brexit are multitudinous.

– Drunk Cynic
yesterday




9




9





@DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

– Alexei
yesterday





@DrunkCynic - I am asking if Parliament's decision involves (logically / legally) that Brexit is not going to happen or there are many other possibilities. Your comment suggests that the answer to my question is: no, this does not mean that Brexit process is automatically cancelled.

– Alexei
yesterday




1




1





@DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

– Dmitry Grigoryev
20 hours ago







@DrunkCynic The core of the question is whether the Parliament vote concerns the terms of the deal or the Brexit itself, which makes it pretty narrow and definitely answerable.

– Dmitry Grigoryev
20 hours ago






1




1





@MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

– Alexei
19 hours ago





@MartijnHeemels - yes, I have edited it. Thanks.

– Alexei
19 hours ago




1




1





Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

– Spencer Williams
13 hours ago





Let us hope and pray that my definitely-not-a-slave friends across the pond start to understand how much they don't want to undo the progress of World War 2.

– Spencer Williams
13 hours ago










3 Answers
3






active

oldest

votes


















68














Parliament has already voted on Article 50 and Article 50 has already been invoked. If nothing else happens between now and March 29th, EU membership ends for the UK. That was the case whether this vote took place or not. So that's the simplest answer with what is known to factually and legally be in place at this time. Anything else borders on wild speculation.






share|improve this answer

































    29














    No, it does not. Under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act, 2018, the UK will still leave the EU on 29 March at 23:00 GMT. Only a further Act of Parliament to amend it will change this, and as of this writing, there is currently no Bill active in the Commons to do this.






    share|improve this answer
























    • It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

      – origimbo
      yesterday













    • As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

      – Joe C
      yesterday






    • 4





      Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

      – origimbo
      yesterday








    • 2





      Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

      – Joe C
      yesterday













    • It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

      – WS2
      8 hours ago



















    18














    Assuming a government can be formed after tomorrows' vote of no confidence or the the vote fails. Under the recent amendment controversially allowed by the speaker the prime minister will be required to go back to the house with a new plan or plans for consideration. with that said the PM may still try to continue with a version of the current arrangement.



    The following options exist




    • Brexit is delayed until a deal can be reached that parliament can agree on (or for as long as the EU will allow it if they will at all).

    • No agreement will be reached and the UK will leave the EU on the 29th of march. Note this is currently the default position.

    • Parliament will pass a bill to withdraw article 50 and the UK will reamain in the EU (IMO it seems like this might happen so that brexit can be retried with more proper understanding of what is possible etc)

    • Parliament will eventually agree to the current deal (given the scale of the defeat this may be unlikely)


    In order to reach one of the above there may well be a referendum either considering no deal brexit v the current deal or no deal brexit v the current deal v remain. There may also be a general election if the vote of no confidence is successful.






    share|improve this answer



















    • 3





      There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

      – origimbo
      yesterday






    • 2





      @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

      – Valorum
      yesterday






    • 2





      @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

      – UKMonkey
      15 hours ago






    • 2





      @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

      – Valorum
      15 hours ago






    • 2





      @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

      – UKMonkey
      15 hours ago













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    3 Answers
    3






    active

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    3 Answers
    3






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    68














    Parliament has already voted on Article 50 and Article 50 has already been invoked. If nothing else happens between now and March 29th, EU membership ends for the UK. That was the case whether this vote took place or not. So that's the simplest answer with what is known to factually and legally be in place at this time. Anything else borders on wild speculation.






    share|improve this answer






























      68














      Parliament has already voted on Article 50 and Article 50 has already been invoked. If nothing else happens between now and March 29th, EU membership ends for the UK. That was the case whether this vote took place or not. So that's the simplest answer with what is known to factually and legally be in place at this time. Anything else borders on wild speculation.






      share|improve this answer




























        68












        68








        68







        Parliament has already voted on Article 50 and Article 50 has already been invoked. If nothing else happens between now and March 29th, EU membership ends for the UK. That was the case whether this vote took place or not. So that's the simplest answer with what is known to factually and legally be in place at this time. Anything else borders on wild speculation.






        share|improve this answer















        Parliament has already voted on Article 50 and Article 50 has already been invoked. If nothing else happens between now and March 29th, EU membership ends for the UK. That was the case whether this vote took place or not. So that's the simplest answer with what is known to factually and legally be in place at this time. Anything else borders on wild speculation.







        share|improve this answer














        share|improve this answer



        share|improve this answer








        edited yesterday

























        answered yesterday









        ouflakouflak

        56027




        56027























            29














            No, it does not. Under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act, 2018, the UK will still leave the EU on 29 March at 23:00 GMT. Only a further Act of Parliament to amend it will change this, and as of this writing, there is currently no Bill active in the Commons to do this.






            share|improve this answer
























            • It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

              – origimbo
              yesterday













            • As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

              – Joe C
              yesterday






            • 4





              Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

              – origimbo
              yesterday








            • 2





              Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

              – Joe C
              yesterday













            • It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

              – WS2
              8 hours ago
















            29














            No, it does not. Under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act, 2018, the UK will still leave the EU on 29 March at 23:00 GMT. Only a further Act of Parliament to amend it will change this, and as of this writing, there is currently no Bill active in the Commons to do this.






            share|improve this answer
























            • It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

              – origimbo
              yesterday













            • As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

              – Joe C
              yesterday






            • 4





              Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

              – origimbo
              yesterday








            • 2





              Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

              – Joe C
              yesterday













            • It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

              – WS2
              8 hours ago














            29












            29








            29







            No, it does not. Under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act, 2018, the UK will still leave the EU on 29 March at 23:00 GMT. Only a further Act of Parliament to amend it will change this, and as of this writing, there is currently no Bill active in the Commons to do this.






            share|improve this answer













            No, it does not. Under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act, 2018, the UK will still leave the EU on 29 March at 23:00 GMT. Only a further Act of Parliament to amend it will change this, and as of this writing, there is currently no Bill active in the Commons to do this.







            share|improve this answer












            share|improve this answer



            share|improve this answer










            answered yesterday









            Joe CJoe C

            1,519424




            1,519424













            • It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

              – origimbo
              yesterday













            • As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

              – Joe C
              yesterday






            • 4





              Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

              – origimbo
              yesterday








            • 2





              Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

              – Joe C
              yesterday













            • It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

              – WS2
              8 hours ago



















            • It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

              – origimbo
              yesterday













            • As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

              – Joe C
              yesterday






            • 4





              Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

              – origimbo
              yesterday








            • 2





              Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

              – Joe C
              yesterday













            • It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

              – WS2
              8 hours ago

















            It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

            – origimbo
            yesterday







            It might be worth referring to the specific "meaningful vote" section of the act (section 13) as well.

            – origimbo
            yesterday















            As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

            – Joe C
            yesterday





            As far as I can see, Section 13 doesn't make any mention of "exit day". Which would therefore confirm that it doesn't change as a result of this vote.

            – Joe C
            yesterday




            4




            4





            Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

            – origimbo
            yesterday







            Indeed. Although it does guarantee there will be an open motion brought by a government minister within 21 days (actually on Monday 21st January [for Reasons]) onto which members of the house will attempt to hang all kinds of interesting amendments.

            – origimbo
            yesterday






            2




            2





            Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

            – Joe C
            yesterday







            Yes, though these potential amendments fall outside the scope of this question. They may become relevant to a similar question next week, though, depending on what happens then.

            – Joe C
            yesterday















            It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

            – WS2
            8 hours ago





            It has, though, been confirmed by the European Court that the UK Government has the right, up to 29th March 2019, unilaterally, to cancel the Article 50 notification. My understanding is that this would not require an Act of Parliament. The Government can also negotiate with the EU to defer the date of departure.

            – WS2
            8 hours ago











            18














            Assuming a government can be formed after tomorrows' vote of no confidence or the the vote fails. Under the recent amendment controversially allowed by the speaker the prime minister will be required to go back to the house with a new plan or plans for consideration. with that said the PM may still try to continue with a version of the current arrangement.



            The following options exist




            • Brexit is delayed until a deal can be reached that parliament can agree on (or for as long as the EU will allow it if they will at all).

            • No agreement will be reached and the UK will leave the EU on the 29th of march. Note this is currently the default position.

            • Parliament will pass a bill to withdraw article 50 and the UK will reamain in the EU (IMO it seems like this might happen so that brexit can be retried with more proper understanding of what is possible etc)

            • Parliament will eventually agree to the current deal (given the scale of the defeat this may be unlikely)


            In order to reach one of the above there may well be a referendum either considering no deal brexit v the current deal or no deal brexit v the current deal v remain. There may also be a general election if the vote of no confidence is successful.






            share|improve this answer



















            • 3





              There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

              – origimbo
              yesterday






            • 2





              @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

              – Valorum
              yesterday






            • 2





              @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

              – Valorum
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago


















            18














            Assuming a government can be formed after tomorrows' vote of no confidence or the the vote fails. Under the recent amendment controversially allowed by the speaker the prime minister will be required to go back to the house with a new plan or plans for consideration. with that said the PM may still try to continue with a version of the current arrangement.



            The following options exist




            • Brexit is delayed until a deal can be reached that parliament can agree on (or for as long as the EU will allow it if they will at all).

            • No agreement will be reached and the UK will leave the EU on the 29th of march. Note this is currently the default position.

            • Parliament will pass a bill to withdraw article 50 and the UK will reamain in the EU (IMO it seems like this might happen so that brexit can be retried with more proper understanding of what is possible etc)

            • Parliament will eventually agree to the current deal (given the scale of the defeat this may be unlikely)


            In order to reach one of the above there may well be a referendum either considering no deal brexit v the current deal or no deal brexit v the current deal v remain. There may also be a general election if the vote of no confidence is successful.






            share|improve this answer



















            • 3





              There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

              – origimbo
              yesterday






            • 2





              @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

              – Valorum
              yesterday






            • 2





              @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

              – Valorum
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago
















            18












            18








            18







            Assuming a government can be formed after tomorrows' vote of no confidence or the the vote fails. Under the recent amendment controversially allowed by the speaker the prime minister will be required to go back to the house with a new plan or plans for consideration. with that said the PM may still try to continue with a version of the current arrangement.



            The following options exist




            • Brexit is delayed until a deal can be reached that parliament can agree on (or for as long as the EU will allow it if they will at all).

            • No agreement will be reached and the UK will leave the EU on the 29th of march. Note this is currently the default position.

            • Parliament will pass a bill to withdraw article 50 and the UK will reamain in the EU (IMO it seems like this might happen so that brexit can be retried with more proper understanding of what is possible etc)

            • Parliament will eventually agree to the current deal (given the scale of the defeat this may be unlikely)


            In order to reach one of the above there may well be a referendum either considering no deal brexit v the current deal or no deal brexit v the current deal v remain. There may also be a general election if the vote of no confidence is successful.






            share|improve this answer













            Assuming a government can be formed after tomorrows' vote of no confidence or the the vote fails. Under the recent amendment controversially allowed by the speaker the prime minister will be required to go back to the house with a new plan or plans for consideration. with that said the PM may still try to continue with a version of the current arrangement.



            The following options exist




            • Brexit is delayed until a deal can be reached that parliament can agree on (or for as long as the EU will allow it if they will at all).

            • No agreement will be reached and the UK will leave the EU on the 29th of march. Note this is currently the default position.

            • Parliament will pass a bill to withdraw article 50 and the UK will reamain in the EU (IMO it seems like this might happen so that brexit can be retried with more proper understanding of what is possible etc)

            • Parliament will eventually agree to the current deal (given the scale of the defeat this may be unlikely)


            In order to reach one of the above there may well be a referendum either considering no deal brexit v the current deal or no deal brexit v the current deal v remain. There may also be a general election if the vote of no confidence is successful.







            share|improve this answer












            share|improve this answer



            share|improve this answer










            answered yesterday









            Steve SmithSteve Smith

            1,740216




            1,740216








            • 3





              There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

              – origimbo
              yesterday






            • 2





              @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

              – Valorum
              yesterday






            • 2





              @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

              – Valorum
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago
















            • 3





              There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

              – origimbo
              yesterday






            • 2





              @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

              – Valorum
              yesterday






            • 2





              @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

              – Valorum
              15 hours ago






            • 2





              @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

              – UKMonkey
              15 hours ago










            3




            3





            There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

            – origimbo
            yesterday





            There is a fifth option that somehow a whole new withdrawal is negotiated before 11pm (UK time) on the 29th and voted through by parliament. This is almost certainly cloudcuckooland, but it might just be conceivable for a government of national unity with different red lines than Mrs May's administration.

            – origimbo
            yesterday




            2




            2





            @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

            – Valorum
            yesterday





            @origimbo - Or Mrs May could simply prorogue (suspend) Parliament until March 30th, thus neatly dealing with any opposition. Unlikely to happen, but not beyond the realms of reality

            – Valorum
            yesterday




            2




            2





            @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

            – UKMonkey
            15 hours ago





            @Valorum It's already been decided that and deal must have the blessing of Parliament; as per section 13. Suspending Parliament doesn't remove anything other than the possibility of a deal.

            – UKMonkey
            15 hours ago




            2




            2





            @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

            – Valorum
            15 hours ago





            @UKMonkey - If she prorogues parliament, all current business is ended. Since the default position is that the UK will be leaving at the end of March, no further 'blessing' is required of parliament. She won't be able to ram her deal through though, since that requires (multiple) votes in favour but she can stymie any attempts to block Brexit from happening. As I said though, it's unlikely in the extreme that she'd take this course of action.

            – Valorum
            15 hours ago




            2




            2





            @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

            – UKMonkey
            15 hours ago







            @Valorum reading up on it, May couldn't prorogue Parliament either; it requires the Queens doing.

            – UKMonkey
            15 hours ago




















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